Not only is Burundi in a bad way, as the Minister no doubt knows, but it is in a place that, if the violence does get worse following President Nkurunziza's decision to secure a third term on the face of things barred by the constitution, is likely to descend into Armed Violence and Humanitarian Crisis at speed - and if Burundi, then maybe Rwanda, and maybe, given porous borders, the Democratic Republic of the Congo.