But we may be approaching the point at which the fifth chance will come up, not necessarily because of anything to do with action on our part in connection with the £ but because of some sparking-off action in a New International Crisis.

A New International Crisis Group report, which I believe the noble Lord, Lord Sheikh, mentioned, notes that the failure to stabilize Jonglei and other areas of concern risks seeing south Sudan become increasingly unstable ahead of next year's national elections and the planned 2011 self-determination referendum.